Notes
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How long does the stock market take to recover? Every S&P 500 drop since 1972
17 drops of 10% or more since 1972: how far each one fell, how long it took to hit bottom, and how long to get back to the old high.
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What is a good win rate in trading? (Is 40% good?)
No win rate is good or bad on its own. The break-even table for every risk/reward, and why a 90% win rate can still lose money.
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How long should you paper trade before using real money?
Count trades, not weeks. How many paper trades it takes before your results mean anything, and the checklist that says you’re ready for real money.
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Is your portfolio actually diversified? Three traps to check
Ten stocks can be one bet, and two index funds can hold the same companies twice over. How many stocks it really takes, and the three traps that fake diversification.
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Technical or fundamental analysis? What each one measures
The ratios on one side, the indicators and chart patterns on the other — and the setup worth waiting for, where the business and the chart finally agree.
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Why Buffett’s first rule is “never lose money”
Lose 50% and you need 100% to get back to even. The asymmetry is the whole rule — and the reason refusing to take a small loss is how you end up with a big one.
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Time in the market vs timing the market
Over one day the S&P 500 is close to a coin flip. Over twenty years it has never lost. Only the waiting changed.
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Why I built a stock simulator with a real research stack
Every broker gives paper trading away. The tools are the part that took two years.